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Analyses,
Analysis
Les analyses de
Strategic-Road.com
The analysis
by Strategic-Road.com
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Analysis 30/08/05
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An
Anti-Russian "Cordon Sanitaire"? - by Federico
Bordonaro
Abstract
: The presidents of Ukraine, Georgia, Poland, and Lithuania met in the
Crimea on August 19 following the previous week’s proposal by the
Ukrainian and Georgian presidents to create "an alternative
Commonwealth of Independent States (C.I.S.) without Russia." Georgian
President Mikheil Saakashvili and Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko
announced an initiative to create the Commonwealth of Democratic Choice,
in accordance with the principles of the Community of Democracies -- a
U.S.-backed informal forum launched in 1999 to promote liberal goals such
as support for civil society, free and fair elections, an independent
judiciary, transparency and accountability of governance.
This move is a logical consequence of recent geopolitical and geoeconomic
developments.
A pro-Western (pro-U.S. and pro-E.U.) alignment in Eastern Europe -- with
a political center of Poland -- is extending from the Baltic to the Black
Sea, gaining strength against a Russo-Belarusian axis. On a
political-strategic level, this is the continuation of U.S. political and
military influence in the former Warsaw Pact’s geopolitical region.
N.A.T.O. is literally eating up Russia’s security space in Eastern
Europe.
On a geoeconomic level, the anti-Russian alignment signals serious
competition for oil and gas control and exploitation -- a battle in which
both the
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Eastern European countries’ energy security and U.S. political
goals are involved...
Keywords
: Eastern Europe, Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, Georgia, Poland,
Lithuania, Commonwealth of Democratic Choice, Commonwealth of
Independent States (C.I.S.), N.A.T.O., G.U.U.A.M., BASF, Polish Oil
and Gas (P.G.Ni.G.), Gazprom, Eu.Ro.Pol, Ukrtransnafta, Iranian oil, ...
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Cette analyse
est accessible à nos abonnés du Club Strategic Road
(Word file 6 pages - 1760
words)
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