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Asie
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L'Asie
redoute un ralentissement brutal de l'économie chinoise - Asia
trembling over China’s possible hard landing…
China
the center of Asia's web
the International Herald Tribune 25/05/04
"Traveling around Asia, it's hard not to view the
region as a vast web of interconnected strings, all attached to
China at the middle. If you think that's an overstatement,
consider this: Japan, by far Asia's biggest economy, is recovering
from a 13-year malaise. And what are policy makers and investors
here talking about? China and the specter of a slowdown in the
world's sexiest economy..."
India
and China -- Bumps in the Road
Morgan Stanley 21/05/04
"Ever-fickle global investors have
suddenly turned on India and China. And not without reason. India
has just experienced a stunning political shock, and there are
fears that an overheated Chinese economy is headed for a hard
landing..."
Asia
Pacific: Hunker Down
Morgan Stanley 18/05/04
"...The market now accepts that China’s growth rate needs
to decelerate. The debate is whether China will have a soft
or hard landing..."
INTERVIEW-China
action reduces hard landing risks-World Bank
Reuters 27/05/04
"China's measures to cool its economy have sharply reduced
fears the country may be headed for a hard landing, the World Bank
said on Thursday..."
A
word of caution
The Straits Times, Singapore - May 28, 2004
"...China has become increasingly important in fuelling economic growth in
Asia, and any hiccup in the burgeoning Chinese
economy would undermine the region's fragile recovery. Working on
the assumption that investment in China slows by 5.5 per cent,
imports by 10 per cent and gross domestic product by 4 per cent,
the IMF reckons that Japan could see a 0.5 percentage point
shrinkage in the long term and the other Asian countries by a full
percentage point. For slow-growth economies such as Indonesia,
this can only worsen their plight..."
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Cooling
China's economy and red-hot oil prices
Asia Times 29/05/04
"...The single most important factor in determining the
price of oil for the near future may be the ability of China's
leaders to slow the economic growth of their country. As Beijing
attempts to rein in control of its economy, the threat of a hard
landing for China's growth emerges as a potential destabilizing
effect on the global energy markets and is the only factor that
could substantially affect oil prices in the near term..."
Lire également :
Is
Korea's Economy in Dire Straits?
Korea Times 29/05/04
"...SERI also notes that Korea's exports are very vulnerable
to a hard landing of China's economy..."
Korea
on alert over Chinese slowdown
Daum 05/04
"The growing likelihood of China`s economic slowdown - or its
possible hard landing - is putting Korea on guard.
Though relieved by a market recovery from last week`s "China
shock," Korea`s central bank and economists are warning that
local exporters and investors may face havoc if they don`t
dismantle their excessive focus on the overheating neighbor..."
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